Web Desk – June 12, 2020
Minster for Industries Hammad Azhar is presenting the federal budget for the fiscal year 2020 -21— referred to as the ‘corona-budget’ by Adviser to the Prime Minister on Finance and Revenue Dr Abdul Hafeez Shaikh yesterday during a presser to unveil the economic survey for fiscal 2019-20.
Prime Minister Imran Khan is also attending the session. The minister started the session by saying it was an honour for him to be presenting the second budget of the PTI government under the leadership of PM Imran.
He then went on to highlight some of the major achievements of the government in the outgoing fiscal year, pointing to a 73 per cent decline in the current account deficit, which is now under $3 billion, he said. “There is also a primary surplus which we achieved in the past nine months,” he said.
In the background of Azhar’s speech, loud slogans against the premier and table-thumping by the opposition benches could be heard as the minister highlighted PTI-led government’s efforts to streamline the economy. Later, the opposition walked out of the House in protest.
Azhar said “our budget deficit shrank from 5pc to 3.8pc while IMF gave us an extended facility of Rs6 billion and remmittances increased from 16 to 17 billion”. He noted that Bloomberg had called PSX the top performing market in Dec 2019.
Presenting details of the new budget, the minister emphasised that “no new tax was introduced in this budget”. He said the need of the hour was an expansionary fiscal policy which the government was implementing.
He said the total size of the budget or the total expenditure budget for the next year was Rs7,136 billion slightly higher than the budgeted figure for the previous year.
Of this total, current expenditure for the next fiscal was budgeted at Rs6,345 billion, higher than the Rs6,193 budgeted last year, Azhar said.
Hammad Azhar revealed that development expenditure for the next fiscal year had been budgeted at Rs1324 billion, of which federal PSDP had been budget at Rs650 billion.
The fiscal deficit, he said, would be 7pc of the GDP and has been budgeted at Rs3,195 billion for FY2021. The minister lamented that the deficit had been increased manifold during regimes of the previous governments but said this government will try to keep it in check.
Azhar said the government will pull out the economy from a 0.4pc contraction and is aiming for a 2.1pc growth in GDP for fiscal year 2021.
Total revenue, he said is budgeted at Rs6,573 billion, of which net federal revenue will be Rs3,700 billion.
FBR tax revenue
Azhar went on to reveal that of this total revenue, Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) tax collection has been budgeted at Rs4,963 billion, which is lower than the original budgeted amount of Rs5,555 in last year’s budget. The minister stressed during his speech that the government wants this to be a relief budget due to the crises brought on by the pandemic and the government is imposing no new taxes for the new year.
This year’s budget session is being seen as a formality as both PPP and PML-N, the major opposition parties, have agreed not to press for voting on cut motions and not to point out quorum till the passage of the budget by June 30.
The budget comes as the country tackles the ongoing health crisis caused by the outbreak of the novel coronavirus, which has shaken the economy. It was finalised after talks with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and it was agreed that the federal government would freeze the size of its expenditures.
Presenting the Economic Survey of Pakistan 2019-20 at a press conference on Thursday, Shaikh spent a large part of his speech building narrative around inheriting a troubled economy and putting it on road to recovery before the Covid-19 pandemic hit economies of the world and Pakistan.
Dr Shaikh said it was still very difficult to quantify the accurate impact of Covid-19 on the economy, but there was no doubt that it had been really hit hard and different institutions were making different projections based on quantum, severity and duration of the pandemic.
The adviser said the government had no intention to go for aggressive taxation but this did not mean that those who were rich would not be made to pay their due taxes.
Austerity and belt-tightening remain the focus of the upcoming budget for which every section and arm at the federal and provincial level would be required to contribute and sacrifice.
With FY2021 finance bill, the government aims to give a strong message to the world that it is “fiscally responsible despite severe challenges” and will prudently utilise whatever fiscal space becomes available through international flows.
The government and IMF have agreed on Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) revenue target of about Rs4.95 trillion for next year under which the defence allocations would be kept under Rs1.3 trillion. The federal development programme would go beyond Rs650 billion to support growth prospects.
Besides a tight lid on civil expenditures, subsidies would be targeted and reduced, debt would be smartly structured and cash disbursements for relief and stimulus would be linked to the availability of fiscal space to rein runaway fiscal pressure. Fiscal deficit is being targeted around 9pc of the GDP.
No fresh posts would be created during the year and utmost care would be taken in filling unavoidable posts. Generally, vacant posts for over six and nine months would be considered for abolition.
Similarly, the posts and ministries of devolved subjects would be actually transferred to the provinces including higher education and major hospitals in major cities.
SOPs in place
In order to ensure that the social distancing policy to prevent the spread of Covid-19 pandemic is followed, the opposition and government have agreed that only a maximum of 86 members (one-fourth of the total 342-member house), 46 from the treasury and 40 from the opposition, will be present in the house at one time.
The terms of the agreement, which were called guidelines for ensuring implementation of the standard operating procedures, were read out on the floor of the house by none other than by PPP’s Syed Naveed Qamar on the directive of Speaker Asad Qaiser at the outset of the sitting on Wednesday.
According to the accord, the members and the staff of National Assembly Secretariat who have not got themselves tested for Covid-19 would not be allowed to enter the hall. The proceedings of the house will continue for maximum of three hours daily until June 30. The opposition will not point out quorum, except on the day the budget would be voted upon.
Qamar further said that chief whips of the parties would be responsible for providing the lists of the attending members on a particular day and only those members would be allowed to come to the house whose names were present in the lists.
Explaining further points, the PPP leader said there would be no need for the members to come to the assembly hall for attendance as they could mark their attendance at the main entrance, known as Gate No 1.
The Jamiat Ulema-i-Islam-Fazl (JUI-F), however, not only rejected the agreement, terming it “unconstitutional and illegal”, its members also staged a sit-in in front of the dais of the speaker to protest removal of their chairs from the house as only 86 chairs were placed in the house after the agreement.